Kind-Bottle
0xb2c0c8b1c798fb68bd3ae84939387c1bbdf69dca
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$10.63
Total PnL
$0.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on August 8?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$2.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (August 25 - 31)
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will Trump say "Job" 7+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$1.49
$0.49
- YES
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$1.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Serbia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
"Freakier Friday" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 50–69%?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4800 August 11–17?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?$1.00Sep 17, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Serbia win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?$1.00Sep 3, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (August 25 - 31)$1.00Aug 26, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4800 August 11–17?$1.00Aug 14, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on August 8?$1.00Aug 6, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 15?$1.00Jul 29, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?$1.00Jul 24, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUY"Freakier Friday" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 50–69%?$1.00Jul 24, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Job" 7+ times during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?$1.00Jul 15, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?$1.00Jul 9, 10:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 10:50 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 17, 11:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".