Arid-Synthesis
0xb2d02dae4b8038388fe33766610a80d233b6fa58
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$46.97
Total PnL
$-5.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 30?
27 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$26.97
$2.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 30?
20 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$20.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 30?$24.13Apr 30, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on April 30?$18.09Apr 30, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $130 in March?$7.21Apr 30, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11?$8.02Apr 30, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?$11.17Apr 30, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $140 in March?$12.12Apr 30, 03:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$21.74Apr 30, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$21.00Mar 11, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in March?$7.00Mar 11, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $140 in March?$12.00Mar 11, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?$11.00Mar 11, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 11?$8.00Mar 11, 04:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?$28.31Mar 11, 04:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.40 in February?$35.14Mar 11, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?$28.00Feb 14, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.40 in February?$35.00Feb 14, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$7.04Feb 14, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?$13.49Feb 14, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$26.40Feb 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$7.00Dec 25, 13:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $17.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 14:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.