Decimal-Nightlight
0xb2d5addab7aa6e16224d2eaf614c80789a283629
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
87
Open notional
$0.42
Total PnL
$-594.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- YES
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.42
$-0.58
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
2816 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-118.58
- YES
Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?
2461 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Alexander Bublik win Wimbledon 2025?
1122 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lois Boisson win the 2025 French Open?
400 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-19.60
- YES
Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office?
350 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
261 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.12
- NO
Will Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?
253 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -3°C on February 8?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$1.00Feb 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill I Can Only Imagine 2 be the highest grossing movie this weekend?$1.00Feb 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Feb 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.15Feb 18, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$2.00Feb 18, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$9.12Feb 9, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMSevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5$1.37Feb 9, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.00Feb 8, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.00Feb 8, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$1.00Feb 8, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?$1.00Feb 8, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate no one before 2027?$1.00Feb 8, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$3.00Feb 8, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -3°C on February 8?$1.00Feb 8, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-In$1.00Feb 8, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-In$1.00Feb 8, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO5) - LCK Cup Play-In$1.00Feb 8, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Konyaspor vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?$1.00Feb 8, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWinter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal?$1.00Feb 8, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMArsenal FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5$1.30Feb 8, 07:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 10:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".