Horrible-Cohort-Misunderstand
0xb2d5f3ad75e3e7f372ec3e74969c59f556cb99fc
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$5.38
Total PnL
$-34.81
Realised
$1.60
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on May 1?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.95
$0.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on May 2?
5 shares @ 9.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.17
$0.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?
1 shares @ 30.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.10
$0.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or below on May 2?
174 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.52
$-0.69
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?
224 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.45
$-0.67
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on April 30?
38 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.19
$-1.28
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 2?
10 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.01
$-0.59
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 27?
1273 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on April 30?
1230 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on May 1?
558 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 1?$1.1810h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on May 2?$1.7210h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on May 1?$1.1818h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 2?$0.6321h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 1?$1.4621h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or below on May 2?$1.271d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 1?$1.171d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or below on May 1?$1.691d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 1?$1.341d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C or higher on May 2?$1.391d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 1?$1.891d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 30?$0.141d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 29?$2.131d ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on April 29?$2.411d ago
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 30?$1.462d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 30?$1.492d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on April 30?$1.712d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on May 1?$1.592d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or below on May 1?$1.782d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?$1.612d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 10h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".