Self-Assured-Farrow
0xb2d64d63dd2cc5a475f29b58b78039b167d64813
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$109.95
Total PnL
$-89.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025?
24 shares @ 33.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$23.66
$15.65
- NO
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?
17 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$17.24
$2.24
- NO
North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$13.16
$3.16
- YES
Will Biden finish his term?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$12.35
$2.35
- YES
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
12 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$12.00
$4.80
- NO
Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?
11 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$11.43
$7.43
- NO
Will the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?
10 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$10.13
$2.13
- NO
Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$10.00
$2.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House
150 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?
75 shares @ 69.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.76
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?$7.20Nov 12, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$0.00Nov 12, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 12, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMTrump wins every swing state?$0.00Nov 12, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?$20.00Nov 12, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration? $10.00Nov 12, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3.33Nov 12, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMIran strike on Israel by Nov 8?$11.00Nov 12, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?$10.13Nov 12, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, R Senate, D House$12.00Nov 6, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump do better in Florida or Alaska?$12.00Nov 6, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Israel by Nov 8?$8.69Nov 4, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?$4.00Nov 4, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouse control after 2024 election?$8.00Nov 4, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$8.00Nov 4, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$10.00Nov 4, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024?$10.00Nov 4, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Texas US Senate Election?$8.00Nov 4, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more? $8.00Nov 4, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.5% or more?$8.00Nov 4, 00:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $9.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 12, 08:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".