Flat-Civilisation
0xb2d86a15bc18a36ee09ba6105f31bded917f5036
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$31.00
Total PnL
$-14.23
Realised
$-6.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?
6 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$6.00
$0.28
- NO
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?
5 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$5.00
$0.07
- NO
Will Darius Garland lead the NBA in Assists?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$5.00
$0.02
- NO
Will Dejounte Murray lead the NBA in Assists?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$5.00
$0.04
- NO
Will Immanuel Quickley lead the NBA in Assists?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$5.00
$0.45
- YES
Newcastle United wins the Premier League?
11 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.09
- YES
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
10 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?
6 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 17-24?
5 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2025$0.00
$-0.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?$2.04Feb 1, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$5.72Feb 1, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$3.40Feb 1, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$5.50Jan 30, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 375-399 times Jan 17-24?$0.33Jan 23, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31?$4.55Jan 23, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$3.10Jan 23, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$5.44Jan 23, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?$4.93Jan 23, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden finish his term?$5.00Jan 23, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$5.00Jan 23, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Immanuel Quickley lead the NBA in Assists?$4.99Jan 18, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dejounte Murray lead the NBA in Assists?$4.96Jan 18, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darius Garland lead the NBA in Assists?$4.98Jan 18, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$4.96Jan 18, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLNewcastle United wins the Premier League?$0.15Jan 13, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLNewcastle United wins the Premier League?$0.04Jan 13, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLNewcastle United wins the Premier League?$0.04Jan 13, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNewcastle United wins the Premier League?$0.06Jan 13, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLNewcastle United wins the Premier League?$0.06Jan 13, 05:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 13:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".