Pastel-Commotion
0xb2da148822c281c09a56cd4917796d2c0619b4f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$38.18
Total PnL
$14.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
10 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$9.78
$3.13
- NO
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.37
$3.35
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
8 shares @ 54.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$7.97
$3.64
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?
8 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$7.53
$3.99
- YES
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$4.53
$1.13
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?
4 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in July?$3.54Aug 2, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$4.33Aug 2, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$3.40Jul 12, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on July 31?$1.12Jul 11, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$5.02Jul 7, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS military action against Iran before July?$0.00Jun 28, 23:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jun 28, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$6.65Jun 18, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS military action against Iran before July?$1.86Jun 15, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.44Jun 12, 18:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$2.18Jun 6, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?$2.62Jun 6, 15:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$14.31Jun 6, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?$4.58May 5, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $4,750 by January 31, 2025?$2.08Feb 7, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?$19.23Feb 7, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?$19.15Jan 30, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $4,750 by January 31, 2025?$2.08Jan 30, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMYoon arrested by January 31?$0.00Jan 21, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill someone else be inaugurated?$2.08Jan 21, 16:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $4.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 20:08 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 15:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".