Mature-Faculty
0xb2dbaeae756e9448126e6a5de3d73e092f22140a
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
146
Open notional
$732.78
Total PnL
$-162.62
Realised
$70.68
Win rate
77%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 146- NO
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?
93 shares @ 72.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$66.73
$-0.47
- NO
Will Verizon (VZ) Q2 total operating revenue be above $36.5B?
69 shares @ 50.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$62.79
$28.29
- NO
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by July 31?
98 shares @ 25.6¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$56.35
$31.24
- NO
Will Bruno Fernandes score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
65 shares @ 30.8¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$51.60
$31.48
- NO
Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
84 shares @ 35.9¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$48.72
$18.55
- NO
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?
66 shares @ 62.9¢·now 60.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$39.63
$-1.90
- YES
Will Verizon (VZ) Q2 total operating revenue be above $34.5B?
40 shares @ 91.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$36.00
$-0.40
- NO
Will Omar Marmoush score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
41 shares @ 37.7¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$34.44
$19.00
- YES
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 55 by July 31?
60 shares @ 12.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$32.09
$24.90
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $62B?
40 shares @ 75.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$30.20
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?$67.76Jul 4, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLEngland-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?$10.60Jul 4, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $10.4B?$19.45Jul 4, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) Q2 YouTube ads revenue be above $10.8B?$13.80Jul 4, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Verizon (VZ) Q2 total operating revenue be above $34.5B?$36.53Jul 4, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Verizon (VZ) Q2 total operating revenue be above $35.5B?$12.74Jul 4, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Verizon (VZ) Q2 total operating revenue be above $36.5B?$35.19Jul 4, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AT&T (T) Q2 total revenue be above $31.6B?$15.54Jul 4, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AT&T (T) Q2 total revenue be above $32.2B?$7.88Jul 4, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $63B?$12.59Jul 4, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $66B?$6.14Jul 4, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) Q2 Search & other revenue be above $62B?$30.30Jul 4, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $23B?$10.31Jul 4, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$0.77Jul 4, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$1.07Jul 4, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner$1.28Jul 4, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$2.04Jul 4, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?$9.93Jul 4, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $23B?$8.84Jul 4, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) Q2 Cloud Revenue be above $22B?$6.62Jul 4, 07:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
76/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
77% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
30 closed markets, 77% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $15.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 12:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.