Fruitful-Presume
0xb2e06ace9893458a23b05ad396be3ad3fced936a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$105.07
Total PnL
$-351.7K
Realised
$-29.4K
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?
107 shares @ 99.7¢·now 98.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$105.07
$-1.60
- YES
Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1515798 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.3K
- YES
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1515798 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.3K
- YES
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1515798 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.3K
- YES
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1515798 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.3K
- YES
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1515798 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.3K
- YES
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1515798 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.3K
- YES
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1515798 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.3K
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1515798 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.3K
- YES
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1515798 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.3K
Recent activity
- REWARD$11.15Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?$106.68Jul 11, 13:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$0.01Jul 9, 21:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.46Jun 29, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$157.64Jun 28, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37.43Jun 28, 14:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.19Jun 27, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.67Jun 27, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.61Jun 27, 22:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.27Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.61Jun 26, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Jun 26, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.56Jun 26, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.08Jun 26, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.29Jun 26, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.46Jun 26, 03:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.43Jun 26, 02:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.7K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 11, 15:40 UTC → Jun 11, 15:35 UTC
- SELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.7K@5¢Jun 11, 15:35 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
10/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$5.7K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $10.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.