Giving-Embryo
0xb2ee79c9f0bec84d47213d293e64d6f7eec42f00
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
188
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-782.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 188- YES
Will Armenia win on 2025-10-14?
3100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-17.25
- YES
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?
1930 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.93
- YES
Will turnout be greater than 1200000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
1080 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.08
- CLEMSON TIGERS
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devils
1020 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will Georgia win on 2025-10-14?
1000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-8.93
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NETS
Nets vs. Raptors
97 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.31
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
81 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-0.08
- THUNDER
Thunder vs. Pistons
50 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-13.10
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Rockets
49 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$10.35Jun 22, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-25?$10.35Jun 22, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$10.00Jun 21, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$7.75Jun 9, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$7.06Jun 9, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAvalanche vs. Golden Knights$5.37May 25, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYAvalanche vs. Golden Knights$5.87May 24, 18:44 UTC
- REDEEMBoston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves$10.00May 16, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves$5.97May 15, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$2.35May 12, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Lakers$0.00May 11, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Suns$0.00May 11, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Trail Blazers$0.00May 11, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMRockets vs. Lakers$10.00May 11, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Suns$15.00May 11, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Trail Blazers$15.00May 11, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$4.17May 10, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Suns$15.52Apr 29, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Trail Blazers$15.52Apr 29, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Lakers$3.87Apr 29, 07:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $5.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 07:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 14:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.