Extra-Large-Tonic
0xb2efb804c3c27ecebac835bbfc5b849e94510c98
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$18.08
Total PnL
$-133.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.40
$-11.60
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.25
$2.25
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
35 shares @ 7.9¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.16
$-0.57
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
60 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.21
$-4.79
- YES
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on September 30?
2327 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
2082 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
1500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.86May 11, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 31, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$2.00Jan 21, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$5.00Jan 21, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$5.00Jan 21, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 9, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$20.00Jan 9, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$31.25Jan 6, 23:39 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.25Nov 6, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?$1.00Sep 29, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams drop out?$1.79Sep 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPlasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$1.00Sep 26, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?$5.00Sep 26, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$5.00Sep 26, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYInterstellar object confirmed aliens?$5.00Sep 26, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$5.00Sep 26, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?$1.00Sep 26, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Russian incursion in Polish airspace by September 30?$1.00Sep 26, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$10.00Sep 26, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120K in September?$1.00Sep 26, 03:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 02:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 11:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".