Rare-Cottage
0xb2efe47c908c8868107b5da3b4784d4f1d0afd77
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$5.73
Total PnL
$-9.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
64 shares @ 10.9¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.73
$-1.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2660 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2658 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2653 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
2652 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2646 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
1005 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-502.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
82 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-41.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.98Mar 23, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$7.00Mar 23, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$6.99Feb 5, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$1.00Feb 5, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.01Feb 5, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMCongress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?$2.03Feb 5, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCongress authorizes military force against Venezuela by January 31?$2.00Jan 9, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$1.00Jan 9, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Dec 23, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Dec 23, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.00Dec 23, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Dec 23, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Dec 23, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$0.00Dec 23, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.00Dec 23, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Dec 23, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$0.00Dec 23, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.00Dec 23, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$2.7KDec 23, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$4.3KDec 23, 06:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $411.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 11:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".