Tricky-Menu
0xb2f1072d2bd8e6ac6250c9f56c330bd94744de53
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.13
Total PnL
$-22.42
Realised
$-0.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.13
$-0.88
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
231 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
114 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Denmark record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
106 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of February?
89 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
69 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 15)
34 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$2.00Feb 16, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?$2.56Feb 16, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 15, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 15)$0.78Feb 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?$4.00Feb 15, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,800 by end of February?$2.95Feb 15, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.67Feb 15, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMen's Group A - Canada vs. France$0.37Feb 15, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 15, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Feb 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Feb 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.00Feb 15, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.00Feb 15, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$2.97Feb 15, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$2.92Feb 15, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 15, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $3.20 in February?$0.97Feb 15, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?$1.00Feb 15, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?$0.90Feb 15, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?$1.00Feb 15, 13:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 15, 08:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.