Spiteful-Mare
0xb2faafe618c9f9647a04423a25052c35ed93ce71
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
194
Open notional
$86.33
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-6.18
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 194- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
244 shares @ 12.3¢·now 11.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.41
$-1.59
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.05
$0.05
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
405 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.66
$4.66
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
131 shares @ 15.3¢·now 12.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$16.14
$-3.86
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
311 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.71
$-29.29
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
140 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.35
$-34.65
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
11000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
8809 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.57
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?
6400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11AM ET
5104 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-16.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $6.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 15:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.