Juvenile-Bafflement
0xb3040394cbc73b030ab1d894f02fb7cd99673a51
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-24.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
2100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 22?
1903 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
1900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?
1601 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
1102 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.12
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9?$97.00Jun 9, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9?$96.91Jun 8, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 6?$96.97Jun 6, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 6?$96.88Jun 6, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$96.10Jun 1, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$96.01Jun 1, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?$96.10May 30, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?$96.01May 29, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?$96.10May 28, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?$96.00May 26, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$3.99May 26, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$100.50May 22, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$100.31May 20, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$100.10May 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$100.01May 15, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$100.10May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$100.00May 13, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$100.10May 12, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$100.00May 10, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?$100.10May 10, 09:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $56.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 09:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.