Sleepy-Oversight
0xb3066a6e77fadc1a809aef76eac23fa1b7e0bf80
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$6.18
Total PnL
$-20.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
3 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.88
$0.40
- NO
Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$2.26
$0.16
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?
1 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
25 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
11 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.28
- YES
Will RFK end Polio vaccine recommendation in 2025?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$7.28Apr 7, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin up in Q1 2025?$0.00Apr 2, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy buy 200+ Bitcoin in next purchase?$6.45Apr 2, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy buy 200+ Bitcoin in next purchase?$6.00Mar 26, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLEgypt/Jordan agree to take 100k+ Gazan refugees before April?$2.06Mar 26, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy buy 200+ Bitcoin in next purchase?$4.68Mar 26, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy buy 200+ Bitcoin in next purchase?$3.60Mar 20, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "Good Afternoon" during the March meeting?$0.00Mar 20, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "Good Afternoon" during the March meeting?$3.47Mar 20, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK end Polio vaccine recommendation in 2025?$1.00Mar 10, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin up in Q1 2025?$1.00Mar 10, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win on 2025-03-08?$2.20Mar 10, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win on 2025-03-08?$2.00Mar 2, 04:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$0.00Mar 2, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?$2.00Mar 2, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?$2.10Feb 24, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?$11.00Feb 24, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 18-24?$13.04Feb 24, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Good Afternoon" during the March meeting?$3.40Feb 22, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 18-24?$11.00Feb 22, 05:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $4.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 03:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.