Witty-Decadence
0xb3078bcc1266252ed38f9c509dd0d70e1a709c25
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$8.2K
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$6.43
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 80.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.2K
$1.2K
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 19.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$770.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?
300 shares @ 90.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$249.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?
300 shares @ 73.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$229.49
$10.50
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 in August?
250 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$227.50
$7.50
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in August?
300 shares @ 78.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$223.50
$-10.50
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $255 in August?
250 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$220.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $360 in August?
250 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$213.75
$8.75
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in August?
350 shares @ 84.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$210.00
$-84.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in August?
300 shares @ 76.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$208.47
$-19.53
Recent activity
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$13.0KAug 1, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August?$98.55Aug 1, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $162 in August?$70.05Aug 1, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $162 in August?$0.38Aug 1, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $162 in August?$0.46Aug 1, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $162 in August?$5.46Aug 1, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $162 in August?$5.56Aug 1, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 in August?$102.00Aug 1, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $315 in August?$0.11Aug 1, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?$104.00Aug 1, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?$11.84Aug 1, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?$0.72Aug 1, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?$0.88Aug 1, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?$8.54Aug 1, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $144 in August?$150.00Aug 1, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in August?$7.54Aug 1, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in August?$270.00Aug 1, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $155 in August?$182.20Aug 1, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in August?$44.50Aug 1, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $390 in August?$35.23Aug 1, 07:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $69.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 01:05 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 11:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.