0xb30845b425b9c6e88dd978340b689b93c02b8695
0xb30845b425b9c6e88dd978340b689b93c02b8695
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$143.26
Total PnL
$-483.98
Realised
$257.06
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
71 shares @ 36.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$71.43
$45.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
51 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$51.03
$1.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
16 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$15.79
$12.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
1240 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
715 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
581 shares @ 60.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
296 shares @ 67.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?
222 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
222 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.