Wilted-Hurdle
0xb31bc6957d75c0610cfea24ddde95e7fff11b140
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$121.40
Total PnL
$-36.84
Realised
$-16.34
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
50 shares @ 94.5¢·now 94.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.13
$-0.13
- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
55 shares @ 75.6¢·now 60.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$33.00
$-8.60
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
50 shares @ 35.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.00
$0.50
- NO
Will Dan Goldman be the Democratic nominee for NY-10?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$8.58
$0.10
- YES
Will Stade de Reims achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?
55 shares @ 31.5¢·now 10.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$5.50
$-11.85
- YES
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
20 shares @ 19.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.80
$0.00
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
50 shares @ 6.4¢·now 6.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.15
$-0.05
- YES
Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates in May?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
2 shares @ 19.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.19
$-0.10
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?
1 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.03
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$2.891h ago
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$3.001h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$3.201h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$17.501h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30?$13.501h ago
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $400 in May?$17.541h ago
- TRADESELLWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?$24.731h ago
- TRADESELLWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?$2.001h ago
- TRADESELLWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$5.212h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$5.332h ago
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$3.602h ago
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$29.522h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$30.002h ago
- TRADEBUYOpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$38.002h ago
- TRADESELLWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$12.622h ago
- TRADEBUYWill USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?$16.502h ago
- TRADESELLWill Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title$8.113h ago
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.873h ago
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$5.223h ago
- TRADESELLGemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?$1.703h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11h ago
- Last active
- 1h ago
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".