Ornery-Flax
0xb31e8e38a78e5631f7ed01b504c2bb3d28296a43
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-1.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
1020 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 22?
746 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-198.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 22?
432 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
364 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 19?
263 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 16?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on March 21?
176 shares @ 56.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on March 21?
171 shares @ 38.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 13?
150 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on March 16?
128 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 21?$77.85Mar 23, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 22?$100.00Mar 22, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 22?$98.47Mar 22, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 22?$10.00Mar 22, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 22?$54.36Mar 22, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 22?$100.00Mar 22, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 21?$82.07Mar 22, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on March 21?$50.00Mar 21, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on March 21?$63.98Mar 21, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 21?$10.21Mar 21, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 21?$8.40Mar 21, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on March 21?$50.00Mar 21, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 21?$30.00Mar 21, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on March 21?$130.00Mar 21, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 21?$429.65Mar 21, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 21?$50.00Mar 21, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 21?$40.00Mar 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 21?$30.00Mar 21, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 21?$50.00Mar 21, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 21?$50.00Mar 21, 09:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $62.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 08:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 11:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".