All-Ginseng
0xb31eebe88ceb397519c8c734b73793b49088fe3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
146
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-348.74
Realised
$26.86
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 146- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 20?
650 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 15?
500 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4AM ET
311 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.31
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 20?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 20?
250 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 20?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 13?
205 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 25?
200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on July 20?
200 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?$0.09Jul 24, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?$0.03Jul 23, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?$0.03Jul 23, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 25?$0.03Jul 23, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8PM ET$0.95Jul 22, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8PM ET$2.78Jul 22, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8PM ET$2.56Jul 22, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8PM ET$2.84Jul 22, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 25?$0.78Jul 21, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7PM ET$1.56Jul 21, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7PM ET$2.60Jul 21, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6PM ET$0.93Jul 21, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6PM ET$2.20Jul 21, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7AM ET$3.20Jul 18, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 11PM ET$2.75Jul 18, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8PM ET$6.00Jul 18, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 8PM ET$2.52Jul 18, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7PM ET$2.19Jul 17, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7PM ET$2.87Jul 17, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7PM ET$1.57Jul 17, 23:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 07:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 01:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.