Slippery-Bidder
0xb326c02609834af342727aeb57bc0bdcc8515e74
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$35.71
Total PnL
$1.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- LIGHTNING
Red Wings vs. Lightning
36 shares @ 65.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$35.71
$12.18
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
28 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-7.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 27?
7 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 27?$2.62Mar 26, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$7.73Mar 13, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYRed Wings vs. Lightning$23.53Mar 12, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 1?$17.37Mar 3, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 1?$13.03Feb 26, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$0.00Feb 25, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$3.24Feb 17, 09:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?$26.16Feb 2, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?$19.10Jan 27, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?$737.69Jan 15, 00:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?$444.63Jan 15, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?$738.44Jan 14, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?$445.07Jan 14, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 9?$0.00Jan 13, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Nets$0.00Jan 13, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 9?$8.72Jan 8, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Nets$24.99Jan 4, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Pelicans$0.00Dec 28, 12:13 UTC
- REDEEMPenguins vs. Canadiens$47.70Dec 28, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Pelicans$2.81Dec 25, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $142.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 14:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 11:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.