0xb32dc5444824a75579a295a42e7f999c809226a8
0xb32dc5444824a75579a295a42e7f999c809226a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$10.70
Total PnL
$-97.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
5 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.20
$0.20
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.01
$0.56
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
25 shares @ 4.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.49
$-0.56
- YES
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 12, 3AM ET
4570 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.57
- YES
Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair?
3930 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 19?$3.00Feb 18, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 19?$3.00Feb 18, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 19?$6.93Feb 18, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 19?$3.00Feb 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 18?$2.80Feb 18, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 18?$3.00Feb 18, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 19?$3.00Feb 18, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 15?$6.23Feb 18, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.05Feb 18, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 19?$3.00Feb 17, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 18?$3.89Feb 17, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 18?$3.00Feb 16, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$1.32Feb 16, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.97Feb 16, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 17?$2.81Feb 16, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 17?$1.19Feb 16, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 17?$2.99Feb 16, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 17?$2.99Feb 16, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 17?$2.99Feb 16, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 12?$5.77Feb 16, 01:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 23:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 10:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.