Guilty-Bagel
0xb330183c712d6c9583692c6f07268e1e1a8ccf94
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-91.94
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
3292 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-82.94
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?
1917 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$9.77Mar 1, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Mar 1, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 25, 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 25, 2026?$1.00Mar 1, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$2.00Feb 28, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?$4.00Feb 28, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$38.61Feb 28, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$34.56Feb 28, 17:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $11.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 16:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.