Jolly-Beast
0xb339051af96b412c4693f6538a3fb222f9b2f230
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$146.44
Total PnL
$0.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on July 25?$129.04Jul 23, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?$17.00Jul 23, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $0.70 on July 23?$72.95Jul 23, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on July 23?$73.15Jul 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.70 and $0.80 on July 23?$73.01Jul 21, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.70 on July 23?$72.88Jul 21, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on July 20?$115.00Jul 20, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on July 20?$27.22Jul 20, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.60 and $0.70 on July 20?$114.89Jul 18, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be less than $0.60 on July 20?$27.19Jul 18, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $50 on July 16?$93.88Jul 16, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $50 on July 16?$93.79Jul 14, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 13?$115.00Jul 13, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 13?$114.89Jul 12, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.18Jul 12, 06:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on July 11?$115.00Jul 11, 16:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on July 11?$114.89Jul 10, 05:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $89.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 20:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 17:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.