Shrill-Layer
0xb33aa2a1effbe42d391c052a116bce8ba06ade46
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$23.53
Total PnL
$-4.25
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
9 shares @ 57.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2024$8.71
$3.71
- NO
Will $USDT depeg by June 30?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2023$5.37
$0.27
- NO
[Single Market] Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2024$5.33
$0.33
- NO
[Single Market] Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 91.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$4.13
$0.35
- YES
[Single Market] Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
21 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- DEMOCRATIC
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill $USDT depeg by June 30?$5.10May 2, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023?$5.10May 2, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?$0.00May 2, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill NATO expand in 2022?$0.01May 2, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023?$5.00Jan 3, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$5.00Jan 3, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022?$5.71Jan 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022?$16.97Jan 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022?$0.00Jan 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?$0.00Jan 3, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden be President of the USA on December 1, 2022?$0.00Dec 5, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWhich party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?$0.00Nov 27, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill EUR be worth more than USD again before November?$6.31Oct 28, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30?$2.45Oct 4, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30?$0.00Oct 4, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?$7.60Oct 4, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022?$9.92Oct 4, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jack Dorsey return as CEO of Twitter by September 30?$0.01Oct 4, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jada or Will Smith announce they're getting divorced by September 1, 2022?$0.00Sep 4, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be a recession in Q2 of 2022?$6.13Aug 5, 08:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $5.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 21:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 08:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.