Fuzzy-Sender
0xb33f3b9af32719f57ade28f2e7ca9ddc4c621fbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.53
Total PnL
$-6.91
Realised
$-0.59
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Mar 14, 2027$0.92
$-0.08
- NO
Will Thomas Müller win the 2026 MLS All-Star Shooting Challenge?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
- TEMPLE OWLS
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-14.5)
3 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.48
- SLOVENIA
Euro Basket: Slovenia vs Poland
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.16
- NO
John Daghita arrested by March 31?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1 shares @ 93.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.06
- NO
Armenia agrees to establish Zangezur Corridor in 2025?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?$1.02Jul 28, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Müller win the 2026 MLS All-Star Shooting Challenge?$1.00Jul 28, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austin FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$119.49Jul 12, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$70.39Jul 12, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austin FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$120.01Jul 10, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$70.02Jul 10, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$69.42Jul 10, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?$70.02Jul 10, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?$75.92Feb 16, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?$76.00Feb 14, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYJohn Daghita arrested by March 31?$1.00Feb 2, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLJohn Daghita arrested by March 31?$0.82Feb 2, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYJohn Daghita arrested by March 31?$1.00Feb 2, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMKraken IPO in 2025?$0.55Feb 2, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by December 29, 2025?$1.03Feb 2, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by December 29, 2025?$1.00Dec 27, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1)$1.23Dec 27, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1)$1.00Dec 8, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Villanova Wildcats (-14.5)$1.00Dec 1, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Villanova Wildcats (-14.5)$0.49Dec 1, 08:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $17.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 07:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.