Expensive-Carry
0xb340bea22b416f0d8dd040fb53624852c8fbfcfd
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-1.95
Realised
$-0.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 30?
70 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$69.87
$0.91
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 1?
70 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 1, 2026$69.33
$0.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on May 1?
70 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$68.95
$0.42
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 1?
70 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.1¢·exp May 1, 2026$68.74
$0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 1?
70 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$68.62
$-0.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 30?
70 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$68.57
$0.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 1?
70 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$68.38
$0.39
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 9°C on May 1?
70 shares @ 98.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp May 1, 2026$68.19
$-0.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 1?
70 shares @ 97.7¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 1, 2026$68.19
$-0.28
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 1?
70 shares @ 97.5¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 1, 2026$67.86
$-0.42
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on April 30?$7.454m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 30?$9.6410m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 30?$23.1810m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 30?$11.8310m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on April 30?$60.3810m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 1?$25.352h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 30?$69.022h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 30?$4.372h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 30?$14.542h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 30?$14.982h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 30?$29.592h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on April 30?$58.212h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on April 30?$33.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on April 30?$10.212h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 30?$34.992h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on April 30?$0.102h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on April 30?$13.562h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on April 30?$1.552h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 30?$9.992h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on April 30?$8.522h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $30.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5h ago
- Last active
- 4m ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".