Unruly-Condition
0xb3434f26e02abfc499c57fb1c0d19b8e16a83720
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$311.90
Total PnL
$-13.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
80 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$80.00
$28.80
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
70 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$70.00
$16.10
- YES
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
60 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$60.00
$39.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
60 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$60.00
$17.40
- NO
Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?
37 shares @ 59.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$36.67
$15.00
- NO
Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.23
$1.31
- NO
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?
110 shares @ 46.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-51.20
- NO
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
50 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.25
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?
40 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$36.00Nov 24, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine hits Moscow by August 31?$20.00Sep 22, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?$80.00Sep 22, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?$22.20Aug 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?$1.38Aug 16, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?$27.62Aug 16, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?$52.00Aug 16, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$40.00Aug 16, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMHan Duck-soo in jail by August 15?$70.00Aug 16, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?$10.00Aug 10, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$16.80Aug 10, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$42.60Aug 8, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$22.80Aug 8, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?$11.67Aug 8, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?$3.92Aug 7, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYHan Duck-soo in jail by August 15?$49.70Aug 7, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$29.81Aug 5, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$6.19Aug 5, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$15.04Aug 4, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 10?$22.00Aug 3, 18:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $21.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 14:37 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 24, 16:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.