Perky-Fowl
0xb34745ef56033c475592fbbb811c3cf085a10b22
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-474.12
Realised
$-47.14
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 9?
105 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on April 21?
98 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 11?
95 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-47.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 2?
81 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 21?
79 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-17.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 14?
69 shares @ 71.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-49.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 10?
66 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 9?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 24?
63 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 9?
60 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 28?$18.13Apr 30, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 29?$0.90Apr 29, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 27?$23.80Apr 28, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 28?$1.90Apr 28, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 28?$8.53Apr 28, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 28?$7.52Apr 28, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on April 26?$29.94Apr 28, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 27?$1.00Apr 27, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 27?$5.40Apr 27, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 27?$13.16Apr 27, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 27?$3.80Apr 27, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on April 27?$5.80Apr 27, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 27?$8.20Apr 27, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on April 26?$28.80Apr 25, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 24?$51.55Apr 25, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 24?$3.84Apr 24, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on April 24?$2.56Apr 24, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on April 24?$0.87Apr 24, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 25?$1.80Apr 24, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 62°F or higher on April 25?$9.05Apr 24, 16:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $6.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 17:16 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 01:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.