0xb34d00bfc887c282fb317394a406e8381e885222
0xb34d00bfc887c282fb317394a406e8381e885222
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-5.30
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 22?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UNITED STATES
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
438 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-199.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22?
406 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 22?
303 shares @ 58.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-178.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?
280 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
272 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?
244 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?
243 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on July 21?
237 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 22?$71.13Jul 22, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 22?$9.39Jul 22, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 22?$103.47Jul 22, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22?$10.73Jul 22, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 22?$37.03Jul 22, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22?$12.74Jul 22, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 22?$16.10Jul 22, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 22?$20.72Jul 22, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 22?$75.15Jul 22, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 22?$75.01Jul 22, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 22?$5.36Jul 22, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 22?$5.37Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 22?$16.06Jul 22, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 22?$5.36Jul 21, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 22?$5.37Jul 21, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,050 on July 21?$5.37Jul 21, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21?$5.35Jul 21, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 21?$33.63Jul 21, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21?$8.00Jul 21, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21?$7.98Jul 21, 12:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $22.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 22:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 12:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.