Simplistic-Rancher
0xb34e968e97f27fdef0398316498f8cc26c81f78e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.88
Realised
$-7.30
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New Hampshire Presidential Election?
90 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
49 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Presidential Election?
31 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Montana US Senate Election?
31 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025?
31 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.09
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Alaska Presidential Election?
29 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.09
- YES
Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season?
27 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
25 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?$9.88Jan 8, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?$9.90Jan 8, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?$0.13Dec 12, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?$0.13Dec 12, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLLiverpool wins the Premier League?$2.53Dec 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool wins the Premier League?$2.55Dec 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$2.35Dec 12, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$2.36Dec 12, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another driver win the 2024 F1 season?$0.20Nov 29, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another driver win the 2024 F1 season?$0.41Nov 29, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another driver win the 2024 F1 season?$0.22Nov 29, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another driver win the 2024 F1 season?$0.45Nov 29, 02:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another driver win the 2024 F1 season?$0.29Nov 29, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another driver win the 2024 F1 season?$0.58Nov 29, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another driver win the 2024 F1 season?$0.28Nov 29, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another driver win the 2024 F1 season?$0.55Nov 29, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?$0.38Oct 29, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?$0.76Oct 29, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another driver win the 2024 F1 season?$0.72Oct 28, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another driver win the 2024 F1 season?$1.43Oct 28, 23:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 23, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".