Rigid-Expectation
0xb352858ba3064e16bdf64a38cf7c24e75f3f1d74
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$6.76
Total PnL
$-25.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
81 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.76
$-0.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
3755 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
3755 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2636 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2635 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2635 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2631 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2631 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2631 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
2630 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.97Mar 17, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Mar 17, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft reach $630 in February?$1.00Mar 17, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$1.00Mar 17, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.01Mar 17, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?$1.01Mar 17, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta reach $860 in February?$1.01Mar 17, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?$1.01Mar 17, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft reach $630 in February?$1.00Feb 3, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta reach $860 in February?$1.00Feb 3, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Feb 3, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?$1.00Feb 3, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.00Feb 3, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?$1.00Feb 3, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?$1.00Feb 3, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.01Feb 3, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Magnus Carlsen apologize to Hans Niemann in 2025?$2.06Feb 3, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$3.02Feb 3, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?$3.26Feb 3, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMOdds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?$131.00Feb 3, 04:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $92.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 03:35 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 11:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".