Murky-Kebab
0xb35daad1f5b62a1bcbf26a68ff9f030652f692a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$78.70
Total PnL
$0.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
46 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$45.67
$0.27
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
9 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$8.72
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$5.16
$0.01
- NO
Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$3.71
$0.01
- NO
Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series?
3 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$3.26
$0.06
- NO
Will Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$3.11
$0.01
- YES
Ethereum above $3600 on August 13?
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$2.83
$0.03
- NO
Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.71
$0.01
- NO
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?
2 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$1.53
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$5.15Dec 2, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$8.70Dec 2, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$45.40Dec 2, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$3.71Dec 2, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $5.40 in August?$4.31Dec 2, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral AI have the top AI model on September 30?$4.50Dec 2, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?$4.91Dec 2, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2800 August 4–10?$5.12Dec 2, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?$6.41Dec 2, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $340 in August?$6.62Dec 2, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$8.09Dec 2, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $350 in September?$9.02Dec 2, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$20.12Dec 2, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$20.00Nov 6, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral AI have the top AI model on September 30?$4.50Sep 20, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $350 in September?$9.00Sep 20, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Peter Casey win the Irish Presidential Election?$4.90Sep 20, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $5.40 in August?$4.30Aug 25, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $340 in August?$6.60Aug 25, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3600 on August 13?$2.80Aug 9, 05:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $7.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 19:08 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 2, 19:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".