Revolving-Strip
0xb367ff6041204e97a80ca68e6cd39e26f8a93f7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-99.9K
Realised
$-3.8K
Win rate
59%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Biden wins the Popular Vote?
82611 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-28.8K
- YES
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
22385 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.8K
- WALZ
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
21741 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2024$0.00
$-9.5K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
19329 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?
19083 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
18948 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.8K
- YES
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?
16581 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-7.9K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?
15000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-3.9K
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14
10000 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-430.00
Recent activity
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4$0.00Jun 27, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4$0.00Jun 27, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$112.25Nov 15, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$373.87Nov 9, 03:10 UTC
- REWARD$1.50Nov 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$1.3KNov 8, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$379.06Nov 8, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$13.25Nov 8, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$17.50Nov 8, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$402.26Nov 8, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$1.2KNov 8, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$7.77Nov 8, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$4.07Nov 8, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$2.2KNov 7, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$64.27Nov 7, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$120.00Nov 7, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$200.00Nov 7, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$5.17Nov 7, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$5.17Nov 7, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$90.76Nov 7, 03:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $429.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 08:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.