0xb36ca890acab224760b7987f7d7744c5e6897a98
0xb36ca890acab224760b7987f7d7744c5e6897a98
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$200.26
Total PnL
$-144.46
Realised
$-3.85
Win rate
0%
76 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 25?
7 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$7.11
$2.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 24?
7 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$7.11
$2.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 25?
7 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$7.10
$2.27
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 17?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$7.10
$2.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on May 20?
7 shares @ 66.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$7.08
$2.39
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C or higher on May 23?
7 shares @ 67.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$7.07
$2.31
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 24?
7 shares @ 70.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$7.07
$2.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 24?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$6.08
$1.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 24?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$6.08
$1.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on May 22?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$6.08
$1.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 25?$4.09May 25, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 25?$4.57May 25, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 25?$4.70May 25, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25?$4.26May 25, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 25?$4.91May 25, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 24?$5.06May 24, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 24?$5.06May 24, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 23?$7.09May 24, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 23?$5.00May 24, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 24?$3.31May 24, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 24?$4.70May 24, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 32°C on May 24?$4.43May 24, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 23?$6.08May 24, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on May 23?$5.06May 24, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 24?$4.44May 24, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 24?$5.06May 24, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 23?$5.00May 24, 04:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 23?$6.07May 24, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 24?$4.28May 24, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 24?$4.48May 24, 03:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 76 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
76 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 03:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 03:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 76 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.