Adventurous-Roof
0xb379ab28928aa8534ce91c9771c599151a3dfd46
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-524.64
Realised
$-120.97
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 12PM ET
181 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 13?
180 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-48.49
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 31?
173 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-171.08
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24?
133 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.25
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 2AM ET
129 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.51
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 31?
115 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 30?
113 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.38
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 24?
108 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 31?
95 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 11?
88 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 24?$1.38Jul 23, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 20?$101.05Jul 20, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on July 20?$99.53Jul 19, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 28?$76.75Jun 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on June 28?$75.29Jun 28, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 31?$1.59May 30, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$91.11May 28, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?$88.65May 28, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24?$4.54May 23, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMTom Lee mindshare all time high by March 31?$16.81May 20, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 14?$25.11May 13, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 12?$63.66May 7, 10:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 21?$0.00Apr 30, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 24?$0.00Apr 18, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 14?$1.93Apr 13, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 14?$0.06Apr 13, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 14?$21.62Apr 13, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 12?$61.94Apr 11, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 6?$71.16Apr 11, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 6?$0.16Apr 6, 09:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $29.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 21:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 19:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.