Sweltering-Psychoanalyst
0xb37bba750e1fb197ef0f1c89726400922800cb67
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Reform wins the second most seats in next UK election?
100000 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-4.9K
- YES
Reform wins the most seats in next UK election?
100000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2025$0.00
$-538.90
- YES
Will Reform win 7+ seats in UK Election?
65000 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2024$0.00
$-26.6K
- YES
Will another person be next UK prime minister?
23896 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2024$0.00
$-90.90
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
7000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-77.00
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-70.00
- NO
Labour wins a majority of seats in UK election?
4500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Will Labour win 325-349 seats in the next UK Election?
3817 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-158.82
- YES
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
3000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2024$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Don Samuels win the MN-5 Democratic House District?
3000 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2024$0.00
$-206.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Don Samuels win the MN-5 Democratic House District?$206.92Aug 13, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$70.00Jul 28, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$22.00Jul 28, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$33.00Jul 28, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$55.00Jul 28, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYReform wins the second most seats in next UK election? $304.54Jul 4, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYReform wins the second most seats in next UK election? $5.25Jul 4, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYReform wins the second most seats in next UK election? $21.68Jul 4, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYReform wins the second most seats in next UK election? $40.03Jul 4, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYReform wins the second most seats in next UK election? $3.96Jul 4, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYReform wins the second most seats in next UK election? $3.94Jul 4, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYReform wins the second most seats in next UK election? $1.78Jul 4, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYReform wins the most seats in next UK election? $3.21Jul 4, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYReform wins the most seats in next UK election? $0.90Jul 4, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYReform wins the most seats in next UK election? $1.16Jul 4, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYReform wins the most seats in next UK election? $0.60Jul 4, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYReform wins the second most seats in next UK election? $8.95Jul 4, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYReform wins the most seats in next UK election? $20.71Jul 4, 01:43 UTC
- REWARD$0.69Jul 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYReform wins the most seats in next UK election? $2.02Jul 3, 23:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $77.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 07:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 17:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.