0xb37be092aa42feb23567905c64da0d1cf4fba2d9
0xb37be092aa42feb23567905c64da0d1cf4fba2d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.14
Realised
$-3.76
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
975 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.75
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
89 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
39 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on April 4?
1 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Apr 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.60Apr 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.50Apr 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.51Apr 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.50Apr 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Apr 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.50Apr 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.50Apr 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.50Apr 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.50Apr 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.01Apr 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.01Apr 6, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.50Apr 6, 17:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.12Apr 6, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.03Apr 6, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.16Apr 6, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.16Apr 6, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.16Apr 6, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.17Apr 6, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.17Apr 6, 17:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 17:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.