Close-Lemonade
0xb37ce658ab793841d1923a6bf97eeac74d6021eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$3.04
Total PnL
$-114.02
Realised
$3.70
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?
143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?
65 shares @ 3.1¢·now 1.9¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$1.26
$-0.74
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?
2759 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.52
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 20?
971 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 22?
937 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?
903 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 24?
640 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 17?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6?
433 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?
432 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 3 2026?$2.68Aug 3, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in August?$2.08Aug 3, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?$2.08Aug 3, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?$1.21Aug 2, 04:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?$1.20Aug 2, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4?$0.66Aug 2, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4?$1.07Aug 1, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?$1.04Aug 1, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?$1.04Aug 1, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in August?$1.97Aug 1, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4?$1.07Aug 1, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 26?$1.71Jul 24, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 25?$1.28Jul 24, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?$2.99Jul 24, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 24?$1.37Jul 23, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?$1.36Jul 23, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 23?$2.05Jul 23, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$2.07Jul 23, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?$1.85Jul 22, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$1.83Jul 22, 09:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 15:48 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 08:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.