Tepid-Research
0xb384808ce29596c55e7f2ea09ca02fd5b15f09e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-255.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?
6384 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?
6000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Solana above $150 on June 13?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3 PM ET
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?
3111 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "51st State" this week?
2110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2 PM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9?
1200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will another candidate win?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?$3.00Oct 11, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit Israel by October 15?$5.00Oct 11, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 Superheavy booster?$5.00Oct 11, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$4.00Sep 15, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$2.00Jun 17, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?$3.00Jun 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4 PM ET$4.00Jun 14, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2 PM ET$2.00Jun 14, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the FDV of Kanye's token be more than $15b 1 day after launch?$2.00Jun 14, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3 PM ET$4.00Jun 14, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be 47.0% or higher on June 13?$1.00Jun 13, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $150 on June 13?$5.00Jun 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Predoiu?$1.00Jun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?$3.00May 25, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Łódź?$4.00May 25, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Kraków?$4.00May 25, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Warsaw?$4.00May 25, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Lubuskie?$5.00May 25, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki win Opolskie?$5.00May 25, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?$59.17May 25, 19:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 11:40 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 11, 21:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".