Alarmed-Running
0xb38d933b2d4bd4ee0e8fefd86c5d79ee5b443593
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-78.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 January 5-11?
305 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 2?
286 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.21
- YES
Will Ethena reach $0.41 in December?
283 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.46
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 4?
275 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on January 7?
274 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.29
- YES
Will XRP dip to $2.00 January 5-11?
274 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.10 and $2.20 on January 6?
274 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
274 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.46
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 1?
274 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.20 December 29-January 4?
272 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 30?$2.65May 30, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 23?$79.21May 29, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 24?$1.70May 23, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 23?$78.10May 22, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - March 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$24.00May 22, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 22?$1.98May 21, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 18?$1.41May 17, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 17?$3.80May 16, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 10?$78.39May 16, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 10?$76.27May 9, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 27?$77.30May 9, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 29?$2.27Mar 28, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$22.56Mar 28, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 27?$0.12Mar 27, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 27?$73.08Mar 27, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 20?$1.75Mar 20, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$46.88Feb 27, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$46.88Feb 27, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 17?$2.42Jan 17, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on January 17?$2.34Jan 16, 20:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $12.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 17:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 03:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.