Definite-Conspiracy
0xb398b613d8f1d1c9bdc3aee62eac1755d2c34b51
active
Quality score
33/100
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.10
Total PnL
$-9.85
Realised
$-2.00
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.10
$0.05
- NO
MicroStrategy purchases >4000 BTC September 2-8?
6 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.05
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,060,000 by February 1?
3 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.0027d ago
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$133.7928d ago
- YIELD$0.0128d ago
- YIELD$0.0129d ago
- YIELD$0.0130d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$133.0031d ago
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$131.9431d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$133.0031d ago
- REDEEMWill Uranium (USD/LBS) hit $125 (HIGH) by end of February?$1.1152d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Uranium (USD/LBS) hit $125 (HIGH) by end of February?$1.0080d ago
- TRADESELLWill Uranium (USD/LBS) hit $125 (HIGH) by end of February?$0.0680d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Uranium (USD/LBS) hit $125 (HIGH) by end of February?$1.0080d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,060,000 by February 1?$1.0091d ago
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,060,000 by February 1?$0.5291d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,060,000 by February 1?$1.0091d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$1.00122d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$0.09122d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$1.00122d ago
- REDEEMRussia strike on Kyiv municipality on December 2?$1.14122d ago
- REDEEMWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$3.05122d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $35.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 513d ago
- Last active
- 27d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.