0xb399b54c9d20e2e06db222115b268c8329d695a8
0xb399b54c9d20e2e06db222115b268c8329d695a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- COWAN
Nora Cornolle vs. Hailey Cowan
990 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2025$0.00
$-376.20
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on April 3?
900 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-12?
855 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2025$0.00
$-521.55
- YES
Will Trump say "Dictionary" by April 4?
855 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-50.45
- YES
Will FC Midtjylland beat Real Sociedad?
110 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2025$0.00
$-28.60
- YES
Will Crystal Palace vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?
55 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2025$0.00
$-15.95
- NO
Will Real Sociedead beat FC Midtjylland?
35 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2025$0.00
$-18.90
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in January?
35 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2025$0.00
$-16.10
- NO
Will the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?
25 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$0.00
$-19.25
- YES
Will Susan Crawford win by less than 2%?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Browns draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$19.25Apr 23, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMUEFA Europa League: Tottenham vs. Eintracht Frankfurt (To Advance)$95.00Apr 18, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMYair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull$1.0KApr 13, 12:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on April 12?$540.00Apr 13, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUY Delhi Capitals vs. Mumbai Indians$2.35Apr 11, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win on 2025-04-12?$521.55Apr 11, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYYair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull$3.25Apr 11, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYYair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull$432.25Apr 11, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYYair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull$191.75Apr 11, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYYair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull$3.25Apr 11, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYYair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull$3.25Apr 11, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYYair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull$3.25Apr 11, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYYair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull$6.50Apr 11, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYYair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull$3.25Apr 11, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYYair Rodriguez vs. Patricio Pitbull$3.25Apr 11, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNora Cornolle vs. Hailey Cowan$376.20Apr 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 12?$270.00Apr 11, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLChennai Super Kings vs. Kolkata Knight Riders$440.00Apr 11, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYChennai Super Kings vs. Kolkata Knight Riders$76.50Apr 11, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYChennai Super Kings vs. Kolkata Knight Riders$360.00Apr 11, 04:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $115.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 06:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 06:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.