Frivolous-Trial
0xb39dd8e1dbef8be5a78d766c9519540842a83ef0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-69.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for between 2 and 4 seconds?
57 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15?
47 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15?
46 shares @ 48.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 16?
34 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 79-80°F on September 19?
14 shares @ 72.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 70+ tweets on September 14, 2025?
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-29 tweets on September 13, 2025?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "President Xi" during conference with Putin on August 15?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-49 tweets on September 15, 2025?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 65-66°F on September 11?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 79-80°F on September 19?$10.00Sep 19, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on September 18?$10.47Sep 19, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on September 18?$7.23Sep 18, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown by October 1?$0.81Sep 16, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$2.30Sep 16, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBraves vs. Nationals$0.85Sep 16, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?$3.19Sep 16, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 16?$10.00Sep 15, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 79-80°F on September 15?$4.30Sep 15, 22:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 16?$5.74Sep 15, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 16?$14.00Sep 15, 22:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on August 31?$13.35Sep 15, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 79-80°F on September 15?$3.00Sep 15, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$3.45Sep 15, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 70+ tweets on September 14, 2025?$4.00Sep 14, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-49 tweets on September 15, 2025?$1.00Sep 14, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 79-80°F on September 14?$4.23Sep 14, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?$0.41Sep 14, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 79-80°F on September 14?$8.00Sep 14, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on September 14?$3.65Sep 14, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 12, 13:21 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 19, 11:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.