Hard-Diction-Chronometer
0xb39f856b463559f789e7f68c265cccfb943a7c90
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$42.90
Total PnL
$-76.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$5.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
9 shares @ 57.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$4.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
7 shares @ 70.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$4.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$4.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$3.86
$-1.14
- YES
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
17 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$2.92
$-0.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 14?
190 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.86
$-1.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13?$1.04Jun 13, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13?$1.05Jun 13, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?$0.85Jun 13, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13?$5.21Jun 13, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 14?$2.10Jun 13, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$9.93Jun 13, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$0.00Jun 13, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$7.16Jun 12, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$7.14Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto$1.02Jun 9, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-19?$5.07Jun 9, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal win on 2026-06-22?$5.11Jun 9, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$5.04Jun 9, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-21?$5.06Jun 9, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-20?$3.07Jun 9, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$5.03Jun 9, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$5.04Jun 9, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$5.11Jun 9, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$5.06Jun 9, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$5.08Jun 9, 21:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $9.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 19:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.