Excited-Runner
0xb3a156aebd785305dff69260d10747f2e70a412e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-413.83
Realised
$11.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April?
186 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Ethereum above $4500 on September 8?
161 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Ethereum above $4400 on September 8?
157 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on September 13?
101 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Mallorca win on 2025-08-30?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on September 14?
98 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Bayern München vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be greater than $260 on September 16?
73 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.55
- YES
Will the price of Solana be greater than $250 on September 13?
66 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on September 1?
64 shares @ 23.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be greater than $260 on September 16?$5.55Sep 15, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on September 14?$40.00Sep 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 14?$20.00Sep 13, 18:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juventus vs. Inter end in a draw?$8.53Sep 13, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern München vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?$5.00Sep 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club vs. Alaves end in a draw?$5.00Sep 13, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OGC Nice vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?$5.00Sep 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus vs. Inter end in a draw?$5.00Sep 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Everton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?$17.07Sep 13, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be greater than $250 on September 13?$10.00Sep 12, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on September 13?$10.00Sep 12, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 13?$18.75Sep 12, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham vs. Tottenham end in a draw?$5.00Sep 12, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bournemouth vs. Brighton end in a draw?$5.00Sep 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?$5.00Sep 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle vs. Wolves end in a draw?$5.00Sep 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham vs. Leeds United end in a draw?$5.00Sep 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?$5.00Sep 12, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 13?$10.00Sep 12, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on September 12?$95.39Sep 12, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $20.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 14:12 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 15, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.