Wallet profile

Female-Hazel

0xb3a1aad3d35ab7e87052b2addd5a11b3c7b63529

activity 42/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

42/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

190

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-459.6K

Realised

$-14.5K

Win rate

30%

10 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$51.5K

Trades

1

Buy share

48%

Window

May 29, 16:10 UTC → Jun 17, 18:07 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $0.00

Wallet edge sanity

Needs review

32/100
read-only

Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

30% win rate over 10 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

14/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

43 live trades, 5 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.

Resolved-only track record
review

10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence33 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry50 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk49 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
43
Avg trade size
$267.64
Top category
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jun 29, 17:57 UTC
Last active
Jul 11, 16:52 UTC
Win rate sample
10 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

updated 15:31:58 UTC·src:Polymarket Data