Kosher-Hill
0xb3a1d3551dab6611eb27d243d76b80aa2f3158ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$7.21
Total PnL
$-2.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Dogecoin all time high by June 30?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?
1 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
103 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump Media invest in Solana before July?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4000 in June?$1.00Jun 1, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in June?$1.00Jun 1, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.00Jun 1, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill another company be the largest in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.00Jun 1, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00Jun 1, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid dip to $9 before June?$1.00Jun 1, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high in May?$1.01Jun 1, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belarus start mining Bitcoin before June?$1.01Jun 1, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.50 in May?$1.04Jun 1, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 600k+ BTC before June?$1.41Jun 1, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50k in May?$5.01Jun 1, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6000 in May?$5.01Jun 1, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in May?$5.02Jun 1, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in May?$5.49Jun 1, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in May?$6.01Jun 1, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $8000 in May?$1.00May 24, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200k in May?$1.00May 24, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill $SPX be the next coin listed on Robinhood?$0.00May 24, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on May 15 at 5 PM ET?$1.01May 24, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Media invest in Solana before July?$1.00May 15, 06:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 21:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 11:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.