Dishonest-Cast
0xb3b68b23a167f2f765caf5f055fc0299f06da63c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$11.02
Total PnL
$-31.49
Realised
$2.49
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
233 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.28
$-0.72
- YES
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
195 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.88
$-1.12
- YES
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
15 shares @ 6.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
56 shares @ 3.6¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.62
$-1.38
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
26 shares @ 7.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$0.50
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?$1.09Jun 2, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$1.09Jun 2, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$1.08Jun 2, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$3.17May 25, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 9, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.05May 9, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.03May 1, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.02May 1, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$2.13May 1, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$2.05May 1, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Apr 28, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.90Apr 28, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 5, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 5, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.00Mar 26, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.00Mar 26, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.00Mar 26, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Mar 26, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Mar 26, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$2.00Mar 26, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 15:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 09:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.